Below you can find the programme for the upcoming Russia seminar on February 14-15th. The event will be streamed live on YouTube at the following link: https://www.youtube.com/c/Maanpuolustuskorkeakoulu/
“Russia’s War against Ukraine Complexity of contemporary Clausewitzian war”
Day 1: Wednesday 14th February 2024
| 09.00- | Day 1: Welcome and Admin remarks (Itälinnake) | Janne Pukkila (FNDU) | |||
| 09.05 – 09.15 | Opening words | Rector of FNDU | |||
| Keynote | |||||
| 09.15 – 09.45 | Civil-military relations and military effectiveness: lessons from the Russian invasion of Ukraine | Bettina Renz (FNDU, University of Nottingham, UK) | |||
| Russian military thought | |||||
| 10.00 –10.30 | Russian strategic thinking and culture before and after February 24, 2022 | Dimitri Minic (IFRI, France) | |||
| 10.30 – 11.00 | Cultural characteristics of Russian military leadership: it’sinfluence on military operations in Ukraine | Juan Carlos Antunez Moreno (NATO JFC Brunssum, Netherlands) | |||
| 11.00 – 11.30 | Panel | ||||
| 11.30 – | Coffee break | ||||
| 1st Floor (Itälinnake) | 2nd Floor: Riviera | ||||
| SESSION 1 Russian military art | Juha Kukkola (FNDU) | SESSION 2 (Riviera, 2nd floor) Russia’s narratives and motives | Katri Pynnöniemi (Aki-Mauri Huhtinen) (FNDU) | ||
| 12.00 – 12.30 | Russian maritime theories on paper and in practice (with regard to the Baltic Fleet?) | Essi Tarvainen (FNDU) | Understanding Russia’s war against Ukraine: political, eschatological and cataclysmic dimensions | Katri Pynnöniemi (FNDU and Helsinki University) and Kati Parppei (University of Eastern Finland) | |
| 12.30 – 13.00 | Russian Way of Warfare in the Aerial Domain. | Viktoriya Fedorchak (Defence University, FHS, Sweden) | Russia’s imperial policy: theory and reality | Nina Andriianova (Center for Military and Strategic Studies of the National Defence University, Ukraine) (ZOOM) | |
| 13.00 – 13.30 | Panel | Panel | |||
| 13.30 – 14.30 | Lunch | ||||
| SESSION 3 (Itälinnake) Strategy and political objectives | Jukka Viitaniemi (FNDU) | SESSION 4 (Riviera, 2nd floor) Relations between State and War | Pentti Forsström (FNDU) | ||
| 14.30 – 15.00 | von Clausewitz influence on the relation between the State and Armed Forces of the Russian Federation during the War in Ukraine 2022-2023 | Peter A Mattsson & Jakob Shapiro (Defence University, FHS, Sweden) | Toward a Russia’s strategy in a hybrid war against Ukraine: Synthesis of kinetic and non-kinetic actions to achieve a synergetic effect | Valerii Hordiichuk (Center for Military and Strategic Studies, National Defence University of Ukraine) (ZOOM) | |
| 15.00– 15.30 | Theoretical and political relations between “State and War”. | Margaryta Kapochkina (Research centre of the Armed Forces of Ukraine) | A study of the results of the military operation on the territory of Ukraine in relation to the changing political objectives of Russia | Emma Chimbanga, Zhukov Dmytro (Scientific Research Institute of Armament and Military Equipment Testing and Certification, Ukraine) (ZOOM) | |
| 15.30 – 16.00 | Panel | Panel | |||
| 16.00- | Coffee break | Coffee break | |||
| SESSION 5 (Itälinnake) New technologies | Petteri Hemminki (FNDU) | SESSION 6 (Riviera, 2nd floor) Drivers and Impacts of the War | Janne Pukkila (FNDU) | ||
| 16.30 – 17.00 | New technologies of war transform, but do not lift, the fog on the battlefield | Dominika Kunertova & Stephen Herzog, (ETH Zurich, Center for Security Studies, Switzerland) | ‘How much time do you have?’ The General Staff and strategic leadership in the Russo-Ukrainian War (2022-2023): the continuing value of OSINT | Steven J. Main (Russian Military Studies Office, Bathgate, EH48 1HH, Scotland, UK) | |
| 17.00 – 17.30 | Russia’s drone warfare in Ukraine | Leonid Nersisyan (APRI, Armenia and University of Birmingham, UK) and Samuel Bendett (ZOOM) (Center for Naval Analyses, CNA, USA) | The impact of the war in Ukraine on the Russian military presence in the Middle East and South Caucasus | Sergei Melkonian (APRI, Armenia and Yerevan State University, Armenia) | |
| 17.30 – 18.00 | Panel | Panel | |||
| SESSION 7 (Itälinnake) Adaptation | Janne Pukkila (FNDU) | ||||
| 18.05 – 18.30 | How will the Russian Military Adapt after the War in Ukraine? | Clint Reach (RAND, USA) (ZOOM) | |||
Day 2: Thursday 15th February 2024
| Day 2: Opening session (Itälinnake) | Jussi Pajunen (FNDU) | ||||
| 08.30 – 09.00 | Winning the Adaptation Battle? Ukrainian Military Adaptation During the Russo-Ukrainian War | Marc R. DeVore & Kristen Harkness (University of St. Andreews, UK) and Andriy Zagorodnyuk (Centre for Defense Strategies, Ukraine) | |||
| 09.00 – 09.30 | Panel | ||||
| 09.30 – | Coffee break | 2nd Floor: Riviera | |||
| SESSION 8 (Itälinnake) Lesson learned | Juha Kukkola (FNDU) | SESSION 9 (Riviera, 2nd floor) Civil-military relations | Jonna Alava (FNDU) | ||
| 10.00 – 10.30 | Learning Lessons? Institutional Structures and Processes within the Russian Military | Tracey German (King’s College London, UK) | Concepts of Civil-Military Relations in Russian Understanding | Elisa Mohtayeva (FNDU) & Jonna Alava (FNDU and Helsinki University) | |
| 10.30 – 11.00 | The war in Ukraine as another inflection point of forthcoming Russia’s military reform | Dumitru Minzarari (Baltic Defence College, Estonia) | Patriotic and nationalist orientations in Russian society | Ieva Berzina (National Defence Academy, Latvia) | |
| 11.00 – 11.30 | Panel | Panel | |||
| SESSION 10 (Itälinnake) Lesson learned | Juha Kukkola (FNDU) | SESSION 11 (Riviera, 2nd floor) Civil-military relations | Jonna Alava (FNDU) | ||
| 11.30 – 12.00 | Wicked Problems: Policy Studies Perspective on Russia’s Military Performance | Kirill Shamiev (European Council on Foreign Relations) | Features of Russia’s development of civil-military relations in the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine. | Olha Meloshyna (Military Institute of Taras Shevchenko Kyiv National University, Ukraine) | |
| 12.00 – 12. 30 | The Complexity of Modern Warfare: Russian Considerations in Terms of Re-Shaping Strategic, Operational and Tactical Thinking during the Ukraine War (2022-?) | Rod Thornton and Marina Miron (King’s College London, UK) | Theoretical and political relations between “state and armed forces” – Russian wives of mobilized recruits | Oleksandr Ponypaliak (Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Ukraine) (ZOOM) | |
| 12.30 – 13.00 | Panel | Panel | |||
| 13.00 –14.00 | Lunch | ||||
| SESSION 12 (Itälinnake) Economy and Future | Juha-Matti Lehtonen (FNDU) | ||||
| 14.00 – 14.30 | The contribution of Russia’s economic mobilisation and military expenditure to military capability | Emil Wannheden (Defence Research Agency (FOI), Sweden) | |||
| 14.30– 15.00 | Russia’s assessment of geopolitical threats and dangers in 2030 and 2045 – Future drivers for change | Sari Voinoff (Defence Research Agency (FDRA), Finland) | |||
| 15.00 – 15.30 | Panel | ||||
| 15.30- 15.45 | Closing remarks (Itälinnake) | Chief of the Department of Warfare, Col Pasi Hirvonen FNDU | |||
| End of the Russia Seminar 2024 | |||||
Russian Military and Security Research group 